Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.003250 0.003630 0.004028 0.004472 0.004955 0.005463 0.006036
2024-10-06 0.002742 0.003292 0.003897 0.004609 0.005421 0.006314 0.007367
2024-10-13 0.002457 0.003107 0.003851 0.004759 0.005829 0.007042 0.008515
2024-10-20 0.002104 0.002791 0.003606 0.004632 0.005878 0.007328 0.009132
2024-10-27 0.001871 0.002590 0.003469 0.004608 0.006025 0.007712 0.009853
2024-11-03 0.001658 0.002390 0.003313 0.004537 0.006097 0.007993 0.010443
2024-11-10 0.001502 0.002248 0.003213 0.004525 0.006230 0.008340 0.011111
2024-11-17 0.001356 0.002105 0.003100 0.004482 0.006315 0.008621 0.011695
2024-11-24 0.001282 0.002054 0.003102 0.004587 0.006588 0.009141 0.012586
2024-12-01 0.001142 0.001898 0.002951 0.004474 0.006565 0.009273 0.012979
2024-12-08 0.001052 0.001806 0.002881 0.004467 0.006678 0.009581 0.013599
2024-12-15 0.001020 0.001800 0.002931 0.004625 0.007018 0.010192 0.014627
2024-12-22 0.000960 0.001746 0.002913 0.004688 0.007233 0.010649 0.015471
2024-12-29 0.000925 0.001730 0.002946 0.004827 0.007556 0.011259 0.016531
2025-01-05 0.000897 0.001722 0.002992 0.004982 0.007905 0.011909 0.017657
2025-01-12 0.000802 0.001596 0.002849 0.004851 0.007837 0.011982 0.017996
2025-01-19 0.000740 0.001521 0.002780 0.004826 0.007920 0.012261 0.018620
2025-01-26 0.000673 0.001432 0.002683 0.004753 0.007927 0.012432 0.019093
2025-02-02 0.000624 0.001371 0.002628 0.004740 0.008021 0.012724 0.019739
2025-02-09 0.000574 0.001302 0.002555 0.004696 0.008064 0.012944 0.020283
2025-02-16 0.000554 0.001291 0.002578 0.004805 0.008342 0.013505 0.021320
2025-02-23 0.000498 0.001203 0.002465 0.004687 0.008267 0.013548 0.021616
2025-03-02 0.000464 0.001157 0.002421 0.004680 0.008361 0.013841 0.022272